
2023 PROTECTOR FORSIKRING ANNUAL REPORT 2023 PROTECTOR FORSIKRING ANNUAL REPORT14 15
COST AND QUALITY LEADERSHIP LEADING TO
PROFITABLE GROWTH
Our 2023 gross written premiums grew by 37% in local
currencies relative to 2022. Combined ratio was 88.5%,
corresponding to a profit margin of 11.5% from the insurance
business.
The large loss rate (5.9%) in the portfolio was slightly lower
than normalised (7%). The development in reserves from
earlier years (run-o) gave a negative eect of -0.3%.
Adjusted for these factors, underlying profitability is
somewhat weaker than reported results.
Results are derived from disciplined underwriting in renewals
and new sales, high-quality and ecient claims handling,
targeted actions to counter increasing inflation and change in
competitors’ behaviour in UK Public Sector and Housing. The
Scandinavian market can still be characterised as rational. All
countries contribute positively to both volume growth and
technical profitability.
Following some years with investments in portfolio clean-up
and control, the strong growth leads to a gradually improving
cost ratio. There is no significant eciency development in
2023, but investments in people and process improvements,
including better utilisation of available and emerging
technology, will ensure future cost control and scalability.
WELL PREPARED FOR EXTRAORDINARY MARKET
CONDITIONS THROUGH A CULTURE OF DISCIPLINE
This year we more than doubled our UK Public Sector and
Housing portfolio, following several years with very low hit
ratios. Prior years have been challenging, and we have gone
many rounds on why we have not won more volume; we have
been there quoting all the way, staying true to our models
and processes with data supporting our view. We have not
changed our underwriting processes and principles, nor our
risk appetite, but the conditions in the market have changed;
some competitors turned more conservative (both in pricing
and risk appetite), others were no longer present in the
market at all.
The UK Public Sector and Housing market is limited to
approximately £ 900 million, whereof approximately £ 600
million is within our current appetite. With our £ 218 million
in this market as per year-end, we now have a market share
at above 30%. Approximately one fifth (1/5) of the market
go out to tender per year. The growth in the segment
through 2023 is extraordinary and we expect competition to
normalise over time. We will stay disciplined and consistent
and use data as the basis for our decision-making, irrespective
of how the market should develop.
HIGH RUNNING YIELD ON THE BOND PORTFOLIO
AND DISCIPLINED FINANCIAL UNDERWRITING
The investment portfolio yielded a return of NOK 1,372
million (7.9%); equities at 12.1% excl. put options, and fixed
income at 7.6%. We invest for the long term; iinvestment
decisions are made based on expected development in
fundamental value with our portfolio companies relative to
their inherent risk and the capital they consume. The excess
return from our financial investment activities since October
2014 (in-house management) is exceptional.
Our average reference rate has increased by 0.6%-points
throughout the year, whilst the average risk premium
(spread) has decreased by 0.9. Hence, our expected annual
yield (before cost of risk) in the fixed income portfolio has
decreased from 6.0% by the end of 2022, to 5.8% by the end
of 2023.
Equity portfolio philosophy and research process has stayed
consistent, but with more focus on better documentation
of assumptions and investment rationale. Underlying
development in our equity positions has been good; at year
end we estimate a discount to intrinsic value at 35% on
average for our 32 holdings.
From a capital perspective, we have been steering interest
rate risk during 2023. This is considered more reasonable
in a higher interest rate environment. By matching size and
duration of fixed income securities with our Solvency II-
based provisions per country, we reduce balance sheet risk
and to a certain degree also P&L volatility.
In Protector, we consider investments core business; it is all
about calculating risk vs reward, both within insurance and
investments. Our assets under management have grown
to NOK 18.7 billion (up from NOK 14.9 billion). At year
end about 16.0% was allocated towards equities and 84.0%
towards fixed income securities and interest rate hedging
instruments.
2023
- EXTRAORDINARY, BUT
DISCIPLINED GROWTH
CAPITAL ALLOCATION WITH A RISK APPROACH
To assess risks and opportunities from a capital perspective,
we maintained a strengthened process and wide involvement
of competence from a wider part of the company in 2023.
Both existing and new elements are assessed, discussed,
and quantified quarterly, or more often if found necessary.
This forms the groundwork for correct capital allocation
decision-making and contributes to being well prepared and
capitalised in turbulent times.
In times where we see opportunities for profitable growth
within insurance, see attractive financial investment
opportunities, have other attractive allocation alternatives,
or consider the macro environment to be turbulent (or a
combination of above), we will be reluctant to distribute
excess capital to shareholders.
The solvency capital ratio (SCR-ratio) by year end 2023
is 195%. With this, we have a solid base for the future, and
we value the flexibility it entails. Our prior solvency-based
reinsurance agreement was not renewed going into 2023.
A.M Best has reiterated their investment grade credit rating
of bbb+ and revised their outlook on Protector from stable
to positive.
IMPRESSED BY TEAMS AND INDIVIDUALS
When the results are strong in all business units, it is driven by
good performance from all teams. This includes centralised
IT and HQ functions. The collaboration between people,
teams, units, and functions has continued developing
throughout 2023. I am impressed and proud of how sharing
of “best practice” makes us stronger and of how we support
each other across functions and geographies. Thank you
to all employees for evolving our culture every day and for
delivering great results.
In Protector, we have a history of growth, both in terms of
volume and careers. Through profitable growth we can give
opportunities and invest in the development of our people.
By focusing on our employees’ passion and purpose, and
combining that with what drives our economic engine, role
development becomes natural. Looking ahead, continued
profitable growth will open new opportunities for employees
to pursue. For management that means active, open and
transparent succession planning.
With strong growth we must strengthen the team to continue
delivering. We have a standing ambition to continuously
increase the number and diversity of applicants. This implies
increased visibility in more channels and innovation in how
we best can give potential applicants a view of our every day
in Protector. This is one step in developing diversity, to the
best for our company.
BESTINCLASS DECISIONMAKING IN FOCUS
An important part of our performance culture is our ability
to make decisions. In Protector everyone should make a
decision within their area of responsibility. We believe in
local autonomy, in combination with common tools and
guidelines assisting the decision-making process. If we allow
for everyone to make decisions, we must expect that not all
decisions turn out to be good. With the right culture and tools,
we can celebrate our mistakes as learning opportunities;
best-in-class decision-making is also about the quality of our
decisions.
Starting with the leaders in our internal leadership
development program, we have set more focus on developing
this culture and guidelines during 2023. To facilitate even
more learning from our decisions, we have become better at
documenting our assumptions and rationale, but also making
this documentation more available for others to challenge,
learn and take inspiration from.
BROKERS; A PART OF OUR “ONE TEAM”
Insurance brokers and agents are also a part of our team.
Our best and only friends grew their market share also in
2023, especially through further developing arrangements
for smaller clients than those who usually are a part of the
brokered market. We are part of that journey and see a lot
of future opportunity to compete on quality and eciency
against our competitors’ direct distribution channels.
Our brokers and clients have given us very good feedback
throughout the year, following targeted action to increase
quality and eciency in our joint value chain. This involves
processes, data quality and technology. In addition to our own
survey, placing our British, Danish and Norwegian branches
on top, our Finnish branch second and Swedish branch third,
we have external surveys and awards in Denmark and Norway
confirming our relatively high-quality service level.